TY - CHAP A1 - Bücker, Michael A1 - Szepannek, Gero A1 - Biecek, Przemyslaw A1 - Gosiewska, Alicja A1 - Staniak, Mateusz ED - Crook, Jonathan T1 - Transparency of Machine Learning Models in Credit Scoring T2 - CRC Conference XVI Papers N2 - A major requirement for Credit Scoring models is of course to provide a risk prediction that is as accurate as possible. In addition, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in Credit Scoring very simple Predictive Models such as Logistic Regression or Decision Trees are still widely used and the superior predictive power of modern Machine Learning algorithms cannot be fully leveraged. A lot of potential is therefore missed, leading to higher reserves or more credit defaults. This talk presents an overview of techniques that are able to make “black box” machine learning models transparent and demonstrate how they can be applied in Credit Scoring. We use the DALEX set of tools to compare a traditional scoring approach with state of the art Machine Learning models and asses both approaches in terms of interpretability and predictive power. Results show that a comparable degree of interpretability can be achieved while machine learning techniques keep their ability to improve predictive power. Y1 - 2019 UR - https://crc.business-school.ed.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/sites/55/2019/07/C13-Transparency-of-Machine-Learning-Models-in-Credit-Scoring-B%C3%BCcker.pdf SP - 1 EP - 1 PB - Credit Research Center, University of Edinburgh CY - Edinburgh ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bücker, Michael A1 - Szepannek, Gero A1 - Gosiewska, Alicja A1 - Biecek, Przemyslaw T1 - Transparency, Auditability and eXplainability of Machine Learning Models in Credit Scoring JF - arXiv N2 - A major requirement for credit scoring models is to provide a maximally accurate risk prediction. Additionally, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in credit scoring, very simple predictive models such as logistic regression or decision trees are still widely used and the superior predictive power of modern machine learning algorithms cannot be fully leveraged. Significant potential is therefore missed, leading to higher reserves or more credit defaults. This paper works out different dimensions that have to be considered for making credit scoring models understandable and presents a framework for making ``black box'' machine learning models transparent, auditable and explainable. Following this framework, we present an overview of techniques, demonstrate how they can be applied in credit scoring and how results compare to the interpretability of score cards. A real world case study shows that a comparable degree of interpretability can be achieved while machine learning techniques keep their ability to improve predictive power. Y1 - 2020 UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2009.13384 VL - 2009.13384 SP - 1 EP - 30 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bücker, Michael A1 - Szepannek, Gero A1 - Gosiewska, Alicja A1 - Biecek, Przemyslaw T1 - Transparency, Auditability and eXplainability of Machine Learning Models in Credit Scoring JF - Journal of the Operational Research Society Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/01605682.2021.1922098 ER -